2025 Cracker Barrel odds, predictions, props: NASCAR at Nashville picks from model that nailed 21 winners

NASCAR returns to Music City for the 2025 Cracker Barrel 500 on Sunday. NASCAR started racing at the 1.33-mile tri-oval in 2021, when Kyle Larson won the first-ever Cup race there. Larson hasn’t had much luck recently, as he crashed out twice in the Indianapolis 500/Coca-Cola 600 double last week, but he’s the +450 favorite in the 2025 Cracker Barrel 400 odds heading into the weekend. Denny Hamlin (+550), Christopher Bell (+600), William Byron (+650) and Ryan Blaney (+850) round out the top five in the 2025 NASCAR at Nashville odds.

The green flag drops for the 300-lap race at 7 p.m. ET. Before entering any 2025 Cracker Barrel 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Nashville predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot at Daytona. Then it predicted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami for a +350 payout and Christopher Bell’s +600 triumph in the NASCAR All-Star Race. In 2024, it nailed Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 sports betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.

It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021, including nine in 2023 and three in the first seven races last season. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns. New users also have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest Bet365 promo code, DraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

Now, the model simulated the Cracker Barrel 400 2025 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Nashville leaderboard.

Top 2025 Cracker Barrel 400 predictions

For the 2025 Cracker Barrel 400, we can tell you the model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he’s a +3000 longshot in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Nashville odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Hendrick Motorsports with three of its drivers in the top four of the NASCAR standings entering this weekend while Bowman sits 10th.

He’s piled up seven top-10 finishes over the first 13 races of the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season and he’s also won two poles. Bowman had one of his best runs of the season at Phoenix, a similarly flat one-mile oval, finishing seventh after starting the race in 32nd position. He may look to lean on aspects of that setup for the 1.33-mile oval in Nashville, where Chevrolet’s have won three of the four Cup races contested.

The model has also revealed a surprising NASCAR prop for Sunday: Chase Elliott finishes top five for a +200 payout. Elliott has three top-five finishes and seven top-10 finishes on the season, and recently finished fifth in the NASCAR All-Star race at North Wilkesboro Speedway.

The Hendrick Motorsports racer has also had success at Nashville Superspeedway before. Elliott won the 2022 Ally 400 in Nashville and finished fourth in the same race the following year. FanDuel is offering a great price for this NASCAR at Nashville prop, so you should consider it when you place your 2025 NASCAR at Nashville bets. FanDuel is offering the best price and first-time users can also get a FanDuel promo code if they sign up. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.

How to make 2025 NASCAR at Nashville picks

The model is also targeting four other drivers with Nashville NASCAR odds of 10-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.

So who wins the NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400 2025, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Nashville odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR Nashville projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 21 winners, and find out.

2025 NASCAR Nashville odds, drivers, lineup

See the full NASCAR at Nashville picks at SportsLine

(odds subject to change)
Kyle Larson +450
Denny Hamlin +550
Christopher Bell +600
William Byron +650
Ryan Blaney +850
Tyler Reddick +1000
Ross Chastain +1100
Chase Elliott +1400
Joey Logano +2200
Chase Briscoe +2200
Chris Buescher +2500
Brad Keselowski +2500
Ty Gibbs +2800
Kyle Busch +2800
Josh Berry +2800
Alex Bowman +3000
Carson Hocevar +3500
Ryan Preece +4000
Bubba Wallace +5000
Austin Cindric +5000
Daniel Suarez +7000
Corey Heim +7000
AJ Allmendinger +10000
Zane Smith +10000
Noah Gragson +10000
Erik Jones +15000
Michael McDowell +15000
Austin Dillon +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
Todd Gilliland +25000
Justin Haley +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Cole Custer +50000
Shane Van Gisbergen +50000
Riley Herbst +50000
JJ Yeley +100000
Cody Ware +100000
Chad Finchum +100000
Ty Dillon +100000