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Analysis

DraftKings. Mitch Keller has been solid in the middle of the rotation for the upstart Pirates, pitching to a 3.18 ERA (3.84 xERA). Clearing this line in 4/6 starts, Keller is an efficient, pitch-to-contact pitcher who typically avoids barrels. Consistently utilizing less pitches than average (3.74 per plate appearance is 35th lowest of 138 qualifiers), Keller is able to keep his pitch count down. And despite the Reds hot bats (albeit against weaker pitchers of late), I like Keller’s chances to minimize damage today. Cincy’s lineup skews righty, which is the strong side of Keller’s platoon (.311 OPS allowed). Great pitching weather today as well.